• fmstrat@lemmy.nowsci.com
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    20 hours ago

    Invalid perspective, I’m afraid.

    Every Switch owner

    That’s over 8 years of Switch owners. Use the same growth curve on the SteamDeck forecasting out 7 years from now to make your assessment more accurate.

    Some further perspectives:

    • Many Switch owners have more than one due to the release cycle and special versions
    • If you segment the Switch into the number of consoles sold during the first year, this gap would be nowhere near as large.

    @[email protected] is spot on. This data is about potential and growth, not the past.

    • MudMan@fedia.io
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      5 hours ago

      Ok, let’s use the same growth curve.

      By year three the Switch had sold 55 million units. The Deck is about 10% of that pace. So by “using the same growth curve” it’s the equivalent of every Switch user in 2020 playing 6 hours in the whole year, not 2.

      As for the weird “further perspectives”: The Steam Deck has ALSO released a mid cycle update And yes, I do personally own both a launch and an OLED version of both the Switch and the Deck, if you’re curious.

      I’m confused about the second one. Why pick year one for the Switch? The Deck is three years old.