• DeathByBigSad@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    3
    ·
    edit-2
    1 day ago

    sliwa is polling at 7% in the latest poll

    Even if we assume he get doubled that like 15%

    The remainder split 3 way evenly is about 28%

    sliwa would have to win like 26% then have the 3 split evenly 24.6 + 24.6 + 24.6

    Extremely rare for that to even be possible.

    My bets are 60% chance Mamdani wins, 35% cuomo win, 4% adams win, 1% sliwa win.

    • LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      edit-2
      1 day ago

      I hope your right. Now we need 350 more of those mayors, 230ish new congress members, and 53 new senators and we can start to have a start